Raja Mandala: India, US, and an East-of-Suez moment

Amid low expectations surrounding Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s first face-to-face with President Donald Trump next week in Washington, there is a likely convergence area that the two leaders could explore. It is probable that the United States supports a greater role of the Indians in obtaining the sub-continent and the Indian Ocean. The shared interest in a Eurasian balance and the complementarity between the United States that has provided its global burdens under internal pressure and an increase in India leading to greater accountability are not difficult to see. But here is the problem. The Washington establishment is making the idea of a retreat and in Delhi, the strategic community is opposed to thinking about going beyond the subcontinent. But Trump policies can force the two to think differently.
The effort to build a strategic partnership between India and the United States over the past two decades based on the assumption that the US unipolar momentum will last. The United States has sought to partner with an increase in India to support US supremacy in the Indo-Pacific. Delhi recognizes American primacy but was afraid of becoming a “junior” partner. He was worried that America’s strategic indulgence toward Pakistan and China – the two main sources of security problems in India – could make Washington an unreliable partner.
Consequently, the hype of security-safety cooperation between India and the United States never met its potential. As Trump challenged traditional assumptions about the global role of America, it is appropriate, even if it could be for Modi to explore a new strategic framework for cooperation with the United States. If Trump believes that an exhausted America must withdraw from the first level of response to the Eurasian crisis, Modi discussed the idea of India as an important power that must take greater regional and international responsibilities.
During his recent visit to Europe, Modi firmly committed India to the 2015 Paris Agreement on Climate Change Mitigation after Trump is issued, saying it requires too much cost for the US economy. In Washington, however, it is unlikely that climate change PM button and other global issues. “Globalization” is a pejorative word in Trump’s lexicon.
But Modi can, and should, with Trump explore the issue of redistribution of international security burdens. Trump thinks the United States too, and I think Modi India could do much more. Trump does not believe that the United States is still forced to defend its friends at all costs. He wants to move more allies to build his own national defense capabilities or America’s financial compensation for his heavy lifting. To make things worse, from Trump’s point of view, the proposal is that while deep free, allies like Germany and Japan have experienced large trade surpluses with the United States.
For Trump, at least, the current provision is unacceptable. Trump does not have the political strength to radically change the post-war regime amid intense hostility in Washington. But it may have triggered a process that could lead to one of the major restructuring costs of the US alliance in the medium-term Eurasia.

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